UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216
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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his skills will probably not be advancing. Mitrione gets the superior technique, durability and power standing that ought to see him using a sensible advantage. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire down the fight but it will be difficult given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Expect a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. Actually he’s had just one success because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his state the struggle seems to be lined overly broad. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes from looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to competitions but he’s receptive to shooting shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have avenues to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and discover an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems to be a 50/50 fight going in. On the other hand, the winner of this struggle is very likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his conduct to the top was impressive. In this matchup he will function as superior technical boxer with the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a tendency to mimic his opponent but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the lineup on Vick to cruise to success with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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